What is the COVID situation trying like?
I’m very joyful to see the quantity of circumstances coming down countrywide from 400,000 a day to round 3.5 lakhs a day. I solely hope this isn’t as a result of of the rapid antigen test which might falsely deliver down the quantity of circumstances. If that’s dominated out, it’s joyful information for the nation. 400,000 was the peak and we hope it’s going to come down to as little as 40,000 in the early weeks of June. So this can be a optimistic occurring if it isn’t due to over utilization of speedy antigen checks.
What has been your personal expertise in the cities the place you might be at the moment current?
The demand has come down in contrast to what was there in the early weeks of April. A extreme lockdown has introduced down the journey associated load and in accordance to me, the RT-PCR check has come down in the nation and speedy antigen checks are being totally used. According to me, in some states like Goa, the positivity price is probably over 50 per cent. Mumbai is just 10-12% optimistic. Delhi is 20% optimistic.
The development may be very clear, the positivity is coming down however is it coming down as quick as the graph depicts or have we put some efforts to deliver it down sooner? That is one thing which I might not find a way to inform, solely ICMR will likely be in a position to reply that the proportion of circumstances doing speedy antigen checks.
Are we probably to replicate what we did throughout the first wave at the similar time final yr?
No, final yr, the first wave which peaked in September 2020 was uniformly selecting up in metro cities after which going to tier-2 cities. Here it didn’t accomplish that. When Mumbai was burning, Bangalore was cool, Calcutta was cool, Delhi was additionally cool then. So it’s going step-by-step from one metropolis to one other metropolis. According to me, each patterns aren’t equally comparable. The second wave is spreading a lot sooner than the first wave. In truth, I preserve asking folks if that is the second wave at the first stage or is it the first wave at the second stage? It may be very tough to examine and nonetheless there are clear solutions from sequencing which tells us that that is the second stage drawback and it isn’t the second wave of the first stage.
Is the second COVID wave lower than the first wave in phrases of impression?
Today the RT PCR positivity is 400,000 in contrast to 100,000 in the first wave. So you possibly can name it 1:4 is the RT PCR check utilization. But if I have a look at Covid associated blood markers, 4 or 5 of them are there. These markers in contrast to the first peak utilization in the second peak is actually 25 occasions extra, not simply 4 occasions. The consciousness of these markers have gone up and individuals are utilizing them as a result of of the severity of the second wave. It is essential to be aware that in the present day, our revenues from non-Covid testing is 40%, 20% is from RT PCR and one other 30% is from Covid-related blood an infection markers which weren’t current in the first wave as clearly as we see right here.